The Celtic Tiger roars!

15 July 2016|

While many of us in the UK have been struggling to understand the consequences of last month’s Brexit vote, our neighbours across the Irish Sea have seized the opportunity to release a rather staggering set of economic data. Ireland’s Central Statistical Office this week revised up its estimate of growth last year from an already impressive 7.8%, to a literally incredible 26.3%. Talk about rubbing salt into the wound! Readers will not be surprised to learn that last year’s growth

The Tweedledum and Tweedledee of British politics

1 July 2016|

"I know what you're thinking about," said Tweedledum; "but it isn't so, nohow." "Contrariwise," continued Tweedledee, "if it was so, it might be; and if it were so, it would be; but as it isn't, it ain't. That's logic." From Lewis Carroll’s - Through the Looking-Glass Gove and Johnson, the Tweedledum and Tweedledee of British politics, sent shockwaves through Westminster yesterday by reversing roles within a couple of eventful hours. If that left you confused, you’re not alone. But markets were largely

Spot the bubble!

17 June 2016|

Housing markets are prone to bubbles, when prices soar relative to incomes and then collapse all at once. And housing bubbles, because they tend to be associated with excess bank credit, can be very damaging for the whole economy when they burst. It tends to mean a banking crisis too. There is a bubble inflating in the European housing market: can you see it? Yes, that's right! It's in Germany. Incredibly, that is the emerging concern among German policymakers and

Trump and the markets

10 June 2016|

He has insulted women, Mexicans, journalists, people with disabilities and many more, but Donald Trump continues to bulldoze his way ever closer to the White House. Is there any stopping him? And what does this mean for markets? For all of Trump's progress, there has been very little reaction in financial markets so far. Do they really care? Perhaps not. After all, Hillary Clinton all but wrapped up the Democratic nomination this week and is the favourite to win November's