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Market participants seem to be unsure whether to interpret the March FOMC statement as dovish or hawkish. We retain our view that the most likely month for the first move in the Fed Funds rate is September.

Read about it on Reuters’ Alpha Now


  • According to the official data released last week, Chinese growth hit a 24-year low of 7.3% in 2014.
  • Our own China Momentum Indicator (CMI) stood at just 2.8% in March. It points to much weaker growth, and a more dramatic slowdown, than the official data.
  • The CMI supports signals coming from commodities markets that China is slowing rapidly. In our view China is now in a hard landing.


New Report: Who carries the risk?

Fathom’s Chief Economist, Andrew Brigden, will discuss the findings of the report at the NAPF Investment Conference on 12 March 2015.

Who carries the risk? Executive summary / NAPF Conference


UK Inflation – BBC News

Roundtable – Professional Pensions

Greece – BBC World News


Will the UK move into outright deflation this month?


Global update 20.03.15 - Fathom latest update, for more info about our view please contact

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Global Economic Strategic Allocation Model (GESAM) of the interaction between the economy and financial markets in over 170 countries.

Our Global Economic and Markets Outlook (GEMO) is a quarterly service that follows a single chain of logic to combine macro economic scenarios for the global economy with an optimal asset allocation.

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