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  • Fathom’s China Momentum Indicator (CMI) slipped 0.2 percentage points to 2.8% in September, increasing the gulf between official numbers and ours.
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It would, in our view, take a severe upset either in the macro-economic data, or in financial markets, to prevent the FOMC from pulling the trigger next month. Investors are less confident than us that the FOMC is ready to tighten. Nevertheless, at a whisker under 70%, the implied probability of a tightening at the December meeting is the highest it has been all year.

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Bank of Japan Holds on ‘Moderate Recovery


Erik Britton, director of Fathom Financial Consulting, and Bloomberg Intelligence’s Jamie Murray discuss the Bank of Japan’s move to keep its asset purchasing program unchanged and the release of the October Fed minutes. They speak to Bloomberg’s Guy Johnson on “Countdown.” (Source: Bloomberg)

USD/JPY – Dukascopy

EUR/JPY – Dukascopy


When is the FOMC most likely to tighten? – Copy 1


UK growth unrevised at 0.5% in Q3. Net trade subtracted record 1.5 pp off growth & trade deficit ballooned again

About 4 days ago from Fathom Consulting's Twitter


Global Economic Strategic Allocation Model (GESAM) of the interaction between the economy and financial markets in over 170 countries.

Our Global Economic and Markets Outlook (GEMO) is a quarterly service that follows a single chain of logic to combine macro economic scenarios for the global economy with an optimal asset allocation.

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